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UFC ANALYST KC PICKS POIRIER OVER CONOR

PHOTO COURTESY OF MMA FIGHTING

McGregor vs. Poirier
Even Odds a bit crazy here? A lot like England vs. Italy, fan bases are skewing reality on both – brain says take Dustin and the Italians.
In the fight?
Conor could knock him out early, sure. But Dustin can take a punch and can win a dozen different ways… it’s not a close fight on paper.
Taking a look:
Poirier beat Alvarez on the rematch (impressive), Holloway in his prime, KO’d Justin Gaethje at the height of his powers, beat a scorching hot Dan Hooker, and KO’d Conor convincingly this past January.
What has Conor done outside of 145 besides run his mouth in usually amusing ways??
Not a lot. He got abused by Khabib (no shame, they all do) and beat a thoroughly washed out Cowboy Cerrone. This is the fight game and emotions run hot… sell the hype, these odds are wrong.
Next up: Oliveira over Poirier, Nate over Conor.

Gilbert Burns vs. Stephen Thompson
I’ll say it again, Wonderboy is criminally underrated. So the guy fought two mostly boring fights against Tyron Woodley, and lost a decision in a staring contest with Darren Till… and I guess just can’t get that stink off of him – regardless of running through the best of the best in this sport.
Who thoroughly beats Pettis (ok, everyone), Masvidal, Luque, and then Geoff Neal like he has?
Not many.
He’s a hell of a gate keeper in the UFC and deserves a bit more respect.
What’s Gilbert going to do, stand on a chair to hit Thompson? This is as one sided of a fight as you’ll see Saturday – for a fight that has critics on both sides of opinion. Burns is fun to watch perform, and dangerous if he gets you in his vice grips. It’s just that this skill set doesn’t usually work versus Wonderboy. Can he catch him like Showtime did? Sure. But again, these odds are way off, Thompson should be a huge favourite.

Tai Tuivasa vs. Greg Hardy
Tremendous. We are all waiting for someone to knock Hardy out – this could be the guy. Worth mentioning I nearly always win betting on the ex NFL defensive tackle, and always lose betting on Tuivasa.
But give me the Aussie with the faster hands. But very low conviction, Hardy was ALL PRO.

Max Griffin vs. Carlos Condit
Tradition goes that without fail, every big UFC card we have a Brazilian retirement fight. Well, in it’s rare absence, let’s settle on saying farewell to Carlos Condit.
Been a good fighter.
Epic Lawler fight, come on.. both exhausted on the fence at the 5th round bell was a moment. This sport is mostly about fitness, endurance, pain, and dammit it’s just amazing to see two fighters burn it to the ground (these dudes make impossibly low fees for their jobs).
Kudos, Carlos Condit.
Now, this Max Griffin he is fighting is one of the more unsavoury c c c characters (h/t Jiten) in the entire game. I’m not a fan, am more of a cautionist (that a word?). Word of caution – this guy is mean and very good. This fight will not be close.
All day on Max Griffin, let’s hope he’s taken his act up a few notches this go around though.

Niko Price vs. Michel Pereira
We have a good ole Florida boy, high school linebacker (usually a good sign) vs. the dude who gassed himself out dancing (dancing, Gerald cried) to his walkout music. Yes, he is that big of a weirdo, and I must admit, incredibly entertaining fighter. The Brazilian goes for all the long shot strikes. Hits a few as well. Niko is more about violence. And he brings a lot of it. Love this fight.   Niko in highlight reel fashion.

Trevin Giles vs. Dricus Du Plessis
South African specimen vs. Houston Cop. This will be a Banger. Lot to like about them both, can see it either way, Giles is crafty, durable. But I am guessing Du Plessis introduces himself to America in this one. He has the look of a guy that can go far in this division. And face it, Saffa’s are winners.

Ryan Hall vs. Ilia Topuria
This is why a lot of us follow MMA. This is where the term “styles makes fights” is truly illustrated. I dusted off the preview this week for this guy, Ryan Hall.
He’s a must watch fighter. Especially as he fights so randomly (the company struggles to find anyone that wants to tangle with him). In a nutshell, he is a wizard at the most interesting part of this sport – submissions. You won’t see anyone like this guy. And he is fighting an undefeated killer. Watch and learn, mixed martial arts isn’t always about how hard you can hit.

Best bet: parlay Thompson/Poirier/Griffin

Written by KC

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