UFC 250 back in Las Vegas… A decent card, not packed with real drama or big names, HOWEVER, I think I can predict every fight this week.
Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer in the Main event.
Felicia could get lucky with a wreckless kick I guess. Maybe. But this sport has levels. And the Brazilian double Champ is on a level much more advanced than any woman on the planet. The odds could not be high enough. 10:1 is not unfair.
Nunes wins easy.
Raphael Assuncao 5’5.5” vs 5’8” Cody Garbrandt
Both have power, both on losing streaks, neither particularly likeable. Love to see Cody get KO’d again, because I have enjoyed watching him lose ever since he talked severe smack to Conor McGregor, Dominick Cruz, TJ Dillishaw etc. I think he’s a punk. And his hot head gets him into firefights that his chin cannot handle. If he’s patient, he wins. If he’s undisciplined he’ll be KO’d into next month again. Fun fight, they’ll bang. KO by Assuncao or win by Garbrandt.
My call: Cody, with his (new coaches) gameplan, gets back in win department.
Aljamain Sterling 5’7” vs Cory Sandhagen 5’11”
Potential for the fight of the night. Both long, and typically have the height advantage in their fights. Will be interesting to see both pick on a guy their own size. Historically, I have liked the Sandman in every fight so far, mainly for the size differential. But because of this he avoids trouble, as I can’t recall him taking any damage in any of his wins against Assuncao, Linieker, and a few other guys. Also, I feel that Aljo has been in more danger and fire fights (impressive wins against the superb Cody Stamann, Jimmie Riviera, Pedro Munhoz), and that will be the edge. Long island tough works this time. Aljamain wants that belt, gets the win.
Neil Magny vs Rocco Martin
Magny (ex Army) looked fantastic last fight, and has a decorated resume with wins over Li Jingliang, Carlos Condit, Johny Hendricks, Hector Lombard, and Kevin Gastelum. Are you kidding me, that’s a career. Mangy deserves more respect, and I am happy to give it to him. Rocco is a decent fighter and won 5 of his last 6, but not sure if he’s a welterweight. Not even really sure if he goes by Rocco. Seems more like a 155lb tweener to me. And looks more like an Anthony. Ultimately, I think Magny is better, everywhere.
If Magny can avoid the front leg kicks, I don’t see a lot of danger for him and wins easy.
Eddie Wineland vs Sugar Sean O’Malley
Good scrap. Wineland throws some spirited hands. But O’Malley is the bet until he loses. He’s like the French world cup winning soccer team, even he has no idea how good he actually is yet. I’m not looking for the ceiling.
O’Malley all day.
Alex “Bruce LeRoy” Caceres vs Chase “looks like he’s 12” Hooper
One nickname I made up, and I know you don’t think I am clever enough for the other one. Brilliant nickname … brilliant fighter? No. Caceres is fun for sure, but these eyes have never seen him win a fight. Does he have one? Yes I just looked, he beat one guy I know: Sergio “the easiest money ever” Pettis. That seals it for me. I’ll take the other guy…. Hooper is very young. Like, doesn’t look like he should be fighting at all… but has two straight finishes in THE UFC.
Pick: Chase Hooper with another awesome fight, between two Jiu Jitsu minds, gets the (potential layup) win.
Cody Stamann 18-2-1 vs Brian Kelleher 21-10
Their records alone stand out to me. Also, Stamann got absolutely robbed in his last fight vs Song Yadong. Was a great fight, but not only did Stamann destroy Song in the third and final round, Yadong was deducted a point in the first for an illegal knee. I’d expect a rugged fight, and a good win here vs the dangerous but KO’able Kelleher. BREAKING: Stamann’s 18yr old brother just died this week (cause unknown). That’s terribly sad. But seems Stamann is still going to fight.
Bet is still Stamann, but the fight has taken on a different meaning.
Charles Byrd vs Maki “Coconut Bombz” Pitolo
Coconut head is more like it after absolutely destroying me his last fight. Pitolo had every edge on paper and laid an egg. I will bet against him until I lose. Byrd is 36 yet I only know him for losing to the incredible Edmen Shahbazyan (can we get Edmen a fight please?) and to Darren “The Dentist” Stewart, both early finishes, but no shame in them. I’m on Byrd who has to be desperate for a win.
Gerald Meerschaert vs Ian Heinisch
Heinisch’s story I have documented before: Spanish prison, American prison, reformed drug dealer – turned world class fighter – sign me up. We need more stories, characters. The Meercat on the other hand, couldn’t hate his style more. Always f’s with my head and my bets.
I can only take Heinisch but be warned, it’s bias. And this could be a hug fest – DVR through it.
Evan Dunham vs Herbert Burns
Gotta be honest, Dunham, Jason Knight, Tim Elliott, Chas Skelly are ALL wannabe Darren “The Damage” Elkins. Can’t tell any of them apart. But I hear Dunham is a good dog, and the line is moving…. I have no idea who Herbert is.
GARBRANDT/STERLING pays 11:1