in ,

MARSHY’S CORNER – FORMER EPL STRIKER PICKS ROUND 29

PHOTO CREDIT - GETTY IMAGES

 

LIVERPOOL V BOURNEMOUTH
Can lightning strike twice? The short answer in this case is no. Liverpool have looked a bit tired and lacklustre of late – losing to Atletico Madrid in the Champions League first leg, then that shocker at Watford followed by a midweek FA Cup exit vs Chelsea. There is one thing those results have in common though … they were all away from home. Anfield is a fortress and you can expect Liverpool to bounce back strongly here.
Liverpool 3, Bournemouth 0

ARSENAL V WEST HAM
West Ham have picked up their collective work rate over the past few weeks as evidenced by their battling narrow defeat against Liverpool and their dismantling of Southampton. Not only are they fighting for survival but this is also a London derby. Arsenal on the other hand are the only unbeaten Premier League side in 2020 (bet you didn’t know that) and also have plenty to play for with an outside chance of making the Champions League.
Arsenal 3, West Ham 2

CRYSTAL PALACE V WATFORD
Can Watford replicate last week’s dismantling of the mighty Liverpool? That is the big question. Watford are certainly a confidence team as we saw when Nigel Pearson took over. They can go on runs. Palace are safe from relegation and a mixed bag at home. Watford’s away form isn’t the best but I think confidence will get them over the line at Palace.
Palace 0, Watford 1

SHEFFIELD UNITED V NORWICH
Norwich shocked Leicester last week and then beat Spurs away on penalties in the FA Cup in midweek. Great results but they may feel it a bit in the legs against a workmanlike Sheff United team who had the week off. Norwich are woeful away from home, having only one once this season.
Smart money backs the Blades here.
Sheff United 1, Norwich 0

SOUTHAMPTON V NEWCASTLE
Southampton failed to show up last week at West Ham and were punished for it. I think they will be up for it against a Newcastle team that generally don’t travel well. Saints defence will always be a concern and Newcastle will be looking to catch them on the break. I think Saints have enough to ease home here.
Southampton 2, Newcastle 0

WOLVES V BRIGHTON
Brighton are on an 8-game Premier League winless streak … at completely the wrong time. They are now only 1 point above the drop zone and up against a rampant Wolves team that is scoring goals for fun now. Not only that but Wolves are within touching distance of a Champions League spot so they have plenty to play for.
Wolves 2, Brighton 0

BURNLEY V SPURS
Unless he is playing “rope-a-dope” Jose Mourinho is talking about resting his exhausted players ahead of their Champions League second leg vs RB Leipzig next week. I am not sure if he will really do this given that his team are somehow still in contention for a Champs League spot for next season. They lost an exhausting FA Cup tie to Norwich on penalties during the week and have a lengthy injury list. Burnley are playing well at the moment and are a physical side.
Burnley 1, Spurs 0 

CHELSEA V EVERTON
Somehow, despite already having lost 9 games, Chelsea still find themselves holding on to 4th spot. It is more a reflection of how inconsistent some of the traditionally big clubs have been this season. Chelsea seem to have gone off the boil a bit in the league of late while Everton have shown signs of improvement. Round 28’s narrow 3-2 defeat at Arsenal was their first in 8 league matches. In an even match up, Everton @ 4.16 for the win look worth taking a punt on but I think this one is a draw.
Chelsea 1, Everton 1

MAN UNITED V MAN CITY
Man United have really stepped up their game against the bigger clubs this season and will be no pushovers for Man City this weekend. It is really a tough game to predict as there is usually plenty of drama in these Manchester derbies. At Old Trafford, Man United have only lost twice this season while Man City have lost 4 on their travels so it is a bit of a surprise to see Man City such heavy favourites (Man United paying 5.16 for the win!). It’s just too hard to bet against City with the amount of talent they possess.
Man United 1, Man City 2

LEICESTER V ASTON VILLA
Leicester have had very little joy in the Premier League of late – their shock 1-0 defeat to Norwich a case in point. I think they turn things around this weekend at the King Power as Villa just don’t look up to it. They have been very poor on their travels and at this point look like one of the favourites to go down with Norwich.
Leicester 2, Villa 0

VALUE BETS:

Liverpool to win to nil at home to Bournemouth @ 2.05 … take that all day!

Leicester to win to nil at home to Villa @ 2.35 I also like that

Burnley to beat Spurs at home @ 2.80

Wolves to beat Brighton at home @ 1.65

A combo of all four bets would pay 22.25

In order to keep ourselves accountable we take stock of last weekend’s performance. We got caught out by a few shock results and got a bit greedy on Wolves when an away win would have been enough to make us profitable in a completely upset riddled round. Liverpool lost for the first time in the league in 44 games! No one saw that coming … least of all me!
We base our results off of equal R100 bets on each pick.
Total loss was the complete sweep of R400.

Leicester over Norwich at 1.75 is the bet … you can improve this to 2.35 if you add goals over 2.5 but that is a bit risky.
Wolves to win over Spurs to nil at 4.75 … is worth the risk vs reward.
Chelsea over Bournemouth at 1.72 …
Liverpool to win to nil over Watford at 2.40 …  you have to take that all day.

 

 

 

Written by Ian Marshall

Leave a Reply

APPETITE WETTER – FURY V WILDER I HIGHLIGHTS

FASSI LEADS SUPER RUGBY STATS AND OTHER TAKEAWAYS FROM ROUND 3